Currently in NYC — August 17 2023: Humid with a mix of sun and clouds

The weather, currently.

Listen, it’s Tomato Girl Summer and I am fitting right in with my tomato red face. The city feels like one big subway car without A.C. right now. It doesn’t get any better on Thursday. The humidity will be thick like a slice of an heirloom on sourdough and we’ll be bacon in the partial sun. Can you tell that I’m craving a BLT right now? Lettuce enjoy the day but know that an afternoon shower or thunderstorm is possible with a high of 83°F.

Bike Forecast:

7 out of 10

— Stacy Blundell

What you need to know, currently.

Hurricane Hilary is expected to make a rare trek northward across the US-Mexico border this weekend, bringing the potential for catastrophic flooding.

The latest GFS model (below) shows the remnants of a much-weakened Hurricane Hilary could bring up to 10 inches of rain to the deserts of southern California by Tuesday.

That’s a lot of rain for an area that gets almost none.

In the Coachella-Imperial Valley, the area near Palm Springs and the Salton Sea, average yearly rainfall is about 3-5 inches. That means Hilary is expected to produce about 2-3 years of rainfall in about 3 days.

The last time something like this happened, it wasn’t pretty. In 1976, the remnants of Hurricane Kathleen produced nearly 15 inches of rain on the southward-facing slopes of the Coachella Valley, creating a wall of water as high as 40 feet through normally dry streambeds, washing away homes, roads, and irrigated fields along the way.

As you might guess, hurricanes are quite rare in Southern California, but happen most frequently during El Niño years — like 2023. Climate change caused by fossil fuel burning is also a culprit here: a warmer atmosphere can hold more water vapor, thus making torrential rainstorms more likely.

—Eric Holthaus

What you can do, currently.

The fires in Maui have struck at the heart of Hawaiian heritage, and if you’d like to support survivors, here are good places to start:

The fires burned through the capital town of the Kingdom of Hawaii, the ancestral and present home to native Hawaiians on their original unceded lands. One of the buildings destroyed was the Na ‘Aikane o Maui cultural center, a gathering place for the Hawaiian community to organize and celebrate.

If you’d like to help the community rebuild and restore the cultural center, a fund has been established that is accepting donations — specify “donation for Na ‘Aikane” on this Venmo link.